99% of Delhi and 98% of Rajasthan MLAs represent less than 40% of total registered voters

    By TwoCircles.net Staff Reporter,

    New Delhi: In the last Delhi Assembly elections 99% of the winners had won with votes less than 40% of the registered voters, while in Rajasthan 98% of the winners won with votes less than 40% of the registered voters.


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    On July 8, 2013 while speaking at a seminar on Electoral Reforms in Thiruvananthapuram, the Vice – President of India, Hamid Ansari expressed his concern over the extremely low percentage of representativeness in our Parliament and State Legislative Assemblies. “A perceptive observer of our electoral scene has rightly focused on what he calls the ‘paradox’ of a deepening representative democracy coexisting with a thinning of the very idea of representation,” he had said.

    Association for Democratic Reforms and National Election Watch have conducted an analysis regarding the vote share and representativeness of the MLAs who got elected in the 2008 Assembly Elections in the five states of Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Mizoram.

    According to the data analysed by ADR and NEW, Dr. SCL Gupta from Sangam Vihar constituency and Parvez Hashmi from Okhla constituency had won with the lowest percentage of votes out of the total electorate (14%) in Delhi.

    Similarly, Ramswaroop from Kotputli constituency and Anita from Nagar constituency won with the lowest percentage of votes out of the total electorate (14%) in Rajasthan.

    In Madhya Pradesh, 93% of the winners won with votes less than 40% of the registered voters, while Bhanwar Raja Manavendra Singh from Maharajpur constituency and Ahirwar Ramdayal from Chandla constituency won with the lowest percentage of votes out of the total electorate (12%).

    Highlights of the report are as below:

    DEFINITION
    · Representativeness=(Total Votes Polled for Winner)/(Total No.of Registered Voters)
    · Vote Share=(Total Votes Polled for Winner)/(Total No.of Valid Votes Polled)

    Delhi

    Representativeness:
    1. 99% of the winners won with votes less than 40% of the registered voters.
    2. Dr. S.C.L. Gupta from Sangam Vihar constituency and Parvez Hashmi from Okhla constituency won with the lowest percentage of votes out of the total electorate (14%).

    Vote Share:
    1. 47 winners out of 70 (67%), won with less than 50% of the votes polled.
    2. Dr. S.C.L. Gupta from Sangam Vihar constituency won with the lowest vote share of 27%
    3. Sheila Dikshit, Chief Minister of Delhi, won with a vote share of 52% and representativeness of 29% from New Delhi constituency.

    Rajasthan

    Representativeness:
    1. 98% of the winners won with votes less than 40% of the registered voters.
    2. Ramswaroop from Kotputli constituency and Anita from Nagar constituency won with the lowest percentage of votes out of the total electorate (14%).

    Vote Share:
    1. 161 winners out of 200 (81%), won with less than 50% of the votes polled.
    2. Ramswaroop from Kotputli constituency and Anita from Nagar constituency won with the lowest vote share of 21%.
    3. Ashok Gehlot, Chief Minister of Rajasthan won with 55% vote share and 31% representativeness from Sardarpura constituency.

    Madhya Pradesh

    Representativeness:
    1. 93% of the winners won with votes less than 40% of the registered voters.
    2. Bhanwar Raja Manavendra Singh from Maharajpur constituency and Ahirwar Ramdayal from Chandla constituency won with thelowest percentage of votes out of the total electorate (12%).
    3. Shivraj Singh Chouhan, Chief Minister of Madhya Pradesh won with the highest representativeness of 45% from Budhni constituency.

    Vote Share:
    1. 186 winners out of 230 (81%), won with less than 50% of the votes polled.
    2. Bhanwar Raja Manavendra Singh from Maharajpur constituency won with the least vote share of 19%.
    3. Shivraj Singh Chouhan, Chief Minister of Madhya Pradesh won with a vote share of 62% from Budhni constituency.

    Chhattisgarh

    Representativeness:
    1. 91% of the winners won with votes less than 40% of the registered voters.
    2. Mahesh Gagda from Bijapur constituency won with the lowest percentage of votes out of the total electorate (13%).

    Vote Share:
    1. 72 winners out of 90 (80%), won with less than 50% of the votes polled.
    2. Ravi Shankar Tripathi from Bhatgaon constituency won with the lowest
    vote share of 28%.
    3. Raman Singh, Chief Minister of Chhattisgarh won with the highest vote share of 59% and a representativeness of 47% from Rajnandgaon constituency.

    Mizoram

    Representativeness:
    1. 90% of the winners won with votes less than 40% of the registered voters.
    2. K. Liantlinga from Aizawl South-I constituency won with the lowest percentage of votes out of the total electorate (26%).

    Vote Share:
    1. 37 winners out of 40 (93%), won with less than 50% of the votes polled.
    2. John Rotluangliana of Mamit constituency and K. Liantlinga from Aizawl South-I constituency won with the lowest vote share of 32%.
    3. Lalthanhawla, Chief Minister of Mizoram won with a vote share of 40% and a representativeness of 35% from Serchhip constituency and with a vote share of 35% and a representativeness of 29% from South Tuipui.

    Representativeness: Summary of the 5 states

    The following table shows the percentage of representativeness in these five states:

    State

    Seats

    Average Polling %

    Total Votes Polled for Winners

    Total No. of Registered Voters

    Average Representativeness

    Percentage of Winners with less than 40% Representativeness

    Delhi

    70

    58%

    28,04,587

    1,07,22,979

    26%

    99%

    Rajasthan

    200

    67%

    1,02,52,404

    3,62,68,878

    28%

    98%

    Madhya Pradesh

    230

    70%

    1,04,27,590

    3,61,47,438

    29%

    93%

    Chhattisgarh

    90

    70%

    47,65,231

    1,52,17,228

    31%

    91%

    Mizoram

    40

    82%

    2,00,527

    6,11,584

    33%

    90%

    Table 1: Representativeness of five states for assembly elections (2008)

    Vote Share: Summary of the 5 states

    The following table shows the percentage of average vote share in these five states:

    State

    Seats

    Average Polling %

    Total Votes Polled for Winners

    Total Valid Votes

    Average Vote Share

    Percentage of Winners with less than 50% Vote Share

    Delhi

    70

    58%

    28,04,587

    61,77,342

    45%

    67%

    Rajasthan

    200

    67%

    1,02,52,404

    2,40,97,885

    43%

    81%

    Madhya Pradesh

    230

    70%

    1,04,27,590

    2,52,23,229

    41%

    81%

    Chhattisgarh

    90

    70%

    47,65,231

    1,07,39,965

    44%

    80%

    Mizoram

    40

    82%

    2,00,527

    5,02,956

    40%

    93%

    Table 2: Vote share of the five states in the assembly elections (2008)

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