By Syed Zahid Ahmad
[TwoCircles.net may not agree with the observations and endorsements mentioned in this article]
A brief study of data available at website of Election Commission of India has been made by week ending 11th April 2009 to observe the scope of Indian Muslim’s position in Lok Sabha election 2009. During the study it was found that still data about all constituencies are not available, and Muslims have filed their nomination at 128 constituencies in 16 states. So the study is based upon only 128 constituencies of 16 states.
Objectives
The basic objectives of the observation has been –
1. To let Indian Muslims aim winning 100 Lok Sabha seats in General Election 2009.
2. To avoid division of votes among Muslim candidates which otherwise allows other community win the election despite having good number of Muslim voters.
3. To find scope for Indian Muslims to have maximum representation in political parties which are expected to rule the nation in coalition after election.
4. To observe the attitude of different political parties about empowering Indian Muslims by allowing Muslims contest Lok Sabha Election 2009
5. To ensure that Indian Muslims would have relative share in forming political alliances or coalition government after election because chances are there that no political party is going to get absolute majority. In that case even individuals may play vital role in formation of next central Government.
Observation Method
The data posted on website of Election commission of India were studied to find status of Indian Muslims in Lok Sabha Election 2009. During study, the focus of observation was to find which constituencies have Muslim candidates from different political parties or as independent. Since data at website were incomplete, we could find Muslim candidates filed their nominations at only 128 constituencies from 16 states. So the whole study in based on these 128 constituencies instead of all constituencies.
Observation Report:
During the observation it was found that out of 128 constituencies, Muslims have filed 154 nominations as independent. Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) has given maximum 26 seats to Muslims, followed by Indian National Congress (INC) and Samajwadi Party (SP) with 12 and 10 seats. The number of independent candidates and top 32 political parties with number of Muslim candidates are mentioned in the following table.
SL. INDEPENDENT / POLITICAL PARTY COUNT TC % OF TC
0 INDEPENDENT 154 128 120.3 1
BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY 26 128 20.3 2
INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 12 128 9.4 3
SAMAJWADI PARTY 10 128 7.8 4
ASSAM UNITED DEMOCRATIC FRONT 8 128 6.3 5
DEMOCRATIC SECULAR PARTY 6 128 4.7 6
MUSLIM LEAGUE KERALA STATE COMMITTEE 6 128 4.7 7
PEACE PARTY 6 128 4.7 8
RASHTRIYA JANATA DAL 6 128 4.7 9
AMBEDKAR NATIONAL CONGRESS 5 128 3.9 10
PRAJA RAJYAM PARTY 5 128 3.9 11
JANATA DAL (SECULAR) 4 128 3.1 12
LOK JAN SHAKTI PARTY 4 128 3.1 13
COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA 3 128 2.3 14
COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA (MARXIST) 3 128 2.3 15
NATIONAL LOKHIND PARTY 3 128 2.3 16
APNA DAL 2 128 1.6 17
BHARIPA BAHUJAN MAHASANGHA 2 128 1.6 18
INDIAN JUSTICE PARTY 2 128 1.6 19
INDIAN UNION MUSLIM LEAGUE 2 128 1.6 20
JHARKHAND VIKAS MORCHA (PRAJATANTRIK) 2 128 1.6 21
LOK VIKAS PARTY 2 128 1.6 22
LOKTANTRIK SAMATA DAL 2 128 1.6 23
NATIONALIST CONGRESS PARTY 2 128 1.6 24
NELOPA(UNITED) 2 128 1.6 25
PYRAMID PARTY OF INDIA 2 128 1.6 26
TELANGANA RASHTRA SAMITHI 2 128 1.6 27
TELUGU DESAM 2 128 1.6 28
AJEYA BHARAT PARTY 1 128 0.8 29
AKHIL BHARATIYA ASHOK SENA 1 128 0.8 30
ALL INDIA FORWARD BLOC 1 128 0.8 31
ALL INDIA MAJLIS-E-ITTEHADUL MUSLIMEEN 1 128 0.8 32
AWAMI PARTY 1 128 0.8
TOTAL 128 CONSTITUENCIES IN 16 STATES 313 128 244.5
TC = Total Constituencies
During the study it was observed that among all political parties BSP has taken the lead to file Muslim candidates. The INC along with present alliance do not compete BSP. Similarly the probable third or fourth front does not compete to BSP. If BSP join alliance led by INC or third front, Muslims will be in better position, condition they support BSP. Otherwise, if Muslims prefer other parties, their position may be weaker after election.
In some Muslim concentrated constituencies; SP which is quite popular among Muslims for their secularism has either supported non Muslims candidates or Muslims for name sake only. Examples could be Jayaprada from Rampur and Nafisa Ali from Lucknow. Similarly there is conflict among Muslim candidates filed nominations from different secular parties.
Resolution:
After observation it is reported to find that at present Muslims should have following level of priorities for political parties in Lok Sabha Election 2009. During observation, it was also found that many Muslim concentrated constituencies are reserved for SCs or STs which is unfair. In most of Muslim concentrated constituencies, there are more than one Muslim candidate increasing the probability for division of Muslim votes and allowing non Muslims to win seats form those constituencies. Even in some Muslim concentrated constituencies where just one Muslim candidate from political party has filed nomination, other independent Muslim has filed nomination which may further divide the Muslim votes. In some constituencies Muslim candidates have filed their nominations just as independent because no political party gave ticket to Muslims from those constituencies.
After observation it is suggested that Muslims should have clear policy to
Vote for Muslims against Non Muslims in all constituencies to enable Muslims win maximum Lok Sabah Seats.
Vote for Independent Muslim if no political party has Muslim candidate in a particular constituency and any Muslim has filed nomination as independent candidate.
In case of choosing candidates among different political parties the Muslims need to vote with following priority list.
Probability list about Political parties for Muslims in General Election 2009
Sl. Political parties names
1 BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
2 INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
3 SAMAJWADI PARTY
4 ASSAM UNITED DEMOCRATIC FRONT
5 DEMOCRATIC SECULAR PARTY
6 MUSLIM LEAGUE KERALA STATE COMMITTEE
7 PEACE PARTY
8 RASHTRIYA JANATA DAL
9 JANATA DAL (SECULAR)
10 AMBEDKAR NATIONAL CONGRESS
11 COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA
12 INDIAN UNION MUSLIM LEAGUE
13 NATIONAL LOKHIND PARTY
14 NATIONALIST CONGRESS PARTY
15 ALL INDIA MAJLIS-E-ITTEHADUL MUSLIMEEN
16 BAHUJAN SHAKTY
17 BHARATIYA REPUBLICAN PAKSHA
18 BHARIPA BAHUJAN MAHASANGHA
19 BIJU JANATA DAL
20 COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA(MARXIST-LENINIST)(LIBERATION)
21 GONDWANA MUKTI SENA
22 LOK SATTA PARTY
23 LOKTANTRIK SAMATA DAL
24 MUSLIM MAJLIS UTTAR PRADESH
25 NATIONAL LOKTANTRIK PARTY
26 NELOPA(UNITED)
27 PRAJA RAJYAM PARTY
28 PYRAMID PARTY OF INDIA
29 REPUBLICIAN PARTY OF INDIA EKTAWADI
30 SHOSHIT SAMAJ DAL
31 SUHELDEV BHARTIYA SAMAJ PARTY
32 TELANGANA RASHTRA SAMITHI
33 TRILINGA PRAJA PRAGATI PARTY
Conclusion:
Hope that Indian Muslims would understand that this election is about electing candidates for Lok Sabha to form central Government, and not local government; thus they have to ensure that the candidates they vote for should have vital role to play in forming next government in the centre and may not just going to win the election and sit in opposition or as idle member of parliament. Thus considering these facts, even some active and genuine candidates may need to loose Muslim Votes and unwanted candidates may need Muslim’s support to empower Muslims community in central Government.
Annexure
State wise list of candidates in selected constituencies needing 100% Muslim vote
Constituencies Name of Muslim Candidate Political Party / Independent
Anshra Pradesh
4-Nizamabad AARIS MOHAMMED INDEPENDENT
5-Zahirabad SYED YOUSUF ALI TELANGANA RASHTRA SAMITHI
6-Medak KHAJA QUAYUM ANWAR PRAJA RAJYAM PARTY
7-Malkajgiri MD.MANSOORALI INDEPENDENT
8-Secundrabad ABDUS SATTAR MUJAHED MUSLIM LEAGUE KERALA STATE COMMITTEE
9-Hyderabad ASADUDDIN OWAISI ALL INDIA MAJLIS-E-ITTEHADUL MUSLIMEEN
11-Mahbubnagar ABDUL KAREEM KHAJA MOHAMMAD LOK SATTA PARTY
13-Nalgonda NAZEERUDDIN BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
17-Khammam SHAIK MADAR SAHEB TRILINGA PRAJA PRAGATI PARTY
21-Visakhapatnam I.M.AHMED BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
29-Vijayawada SHAIK MASTAN INDEPENDENT
30-Guntur SHAIK ZIA-UR-RAHMAN INDEPENDENT
31-Narasaraopet S.G. MASTAN VALI PYRAMID PARTY OF INDIA
34-Nandyal S.MOHAMMED ISMAIL BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
37-Hindupur P KHASIM KHAN INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
41-Rajampet SHAIK AMEEN PEERAN AMBEDKAR NATIONAL CONGRESS
Assam
2-Silchar BADRUDDIN AJMAL ASSAM UNITED DEMOCRATIC FRONT
4-Dhubri ANWAR HUSSAIN INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
6-Barpeta ABDUL KADDUS SAMAJWADI PARTY
7-Gauhati SONABOR ALI ASSAM UNITED DEMOCRATIC FRONT
8-Mangaldoi BADIUJ ZAMAL ASSAM UNITED DEMOCRATIC FRONT
9-Tezpur MD. NAZIR AHMED INDEPENDENT
10-Nowgong SIRAJ UDDIN AJMAL ASSAM UNITED DEMOCRATIC FRONT
11-Kaliabor SIRAJ UDDIN AJMAL ASSAM UNITED DEMOCRATIC FRONT
13-Dibrugarh IMTIAZ HUSSAIN INDEPENDENT
Bihar
1-Valmiki Nagar MOHAMMAD SHAMIM AKHTAR INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
2-Paschim Champaran FAIYAZUL AZAM JANATA DAL (SECULAR)
3-Purvi Champaran MD. MURTAZA ANSARI(DR. LAL) INDEPENDENT
4-Sheohar MD. ANWARUL HAQUE BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
6-Madhubani DR SHAKEEL AHAMAD INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
7-Jhanjharpur FIROZ ALAM INDEPENDENT
14-Darbhanga MD. ALI ASHRAF FATMI RASHTRIYA JANATA DAL
18-Siwan HENA SHAHAB RASHTRIYA JANATA DAL
20-Saran SALIM PERWEZ BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
32-Arrah SAIYAD GANIUDDIN HAIDER AMBEDKAR NATIONAL CONGRESS
33-Buxar MOKARRAM HUSSAIN SUHELDEV BHARTIYA SAMAJ PARTY
35-Karakat MD.SHAMIULLAH MANSOORI SHOSHIT SAMAJ DAL
36-Jahanabad AYASHA KHATUN LOKTANTRIK SAMATA DAL
37-Aurangabad SHAKIL AHMAD KHAN RASHTRIYA JANATA DAL
39-Nawada MASIH UDDIN BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
J & Kashmir
5-Udhampur ADREES AHMAD TABBASUM COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA
6-Jammu HUSSAIN ALI BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
Karnataka
8-Koppal ANSARI IQBAL JANATA DAL (SECULAR)
19-Tumkur MOHAMED KHASIM INDEPENDENT
23-Bangalore Rural MOHAMED HAFEEZ ULLAH BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
25-Bangalore central ZAMEER AHMED KHAN. B.Z JANATA DAL (SECULAR)
26-Bangalore South NAHEEDA SALMA S BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
Kerela
1-Kasaragod SHAHIDA KAMAL INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
3-Vadakara ADV.K. NOORUDHEEN MUSALIAR BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
4-Wayanad ADVOCATE. M. RAHMATHULLA COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA
5-Kozhikode A.K. ABDUL NASAR BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
6-Malappuram E. AHAMED MUSLIM LEAGUE KERALA STATE COMMITTEE
7-Ponnani E.T. MUHAMMED BASHEER MUSLIM LEAGUE KERALA STATE COMMITTEE
8-Palakkad ABDUL RAZAK MOULAVI NATIONALIST CONGRESS PARTY
11-Chalakudy MUTTAM ABDULLA BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
12-Ernakulam SHERIF MOHAMMED BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
18-Kollam R.ZAKIEER HUSSAIN INDEPENDENT
19-Attingal SHAMSUDEEN INDEPENDENT
20-Thiruvananthapuram U.NAHURMIRAN PEERU MOHAMMED INDEPENDENT
Madhya Pradesh
8-KHAJURAHO M. SHAKIL GONDWANA MUKTI SENA
10-REWA MD. AKEEL KHAN (BACHCHA BHAI)INDEPENDENT
13-JABALPUR AZIZ QURESHI BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
15-BALAGHAT ADVOCATE AZHAR UL ALIM INDEPENDENT
16-CHHINDWARA ABDUL SHAMAD KHAN INDEPENDENT
17-HOSHANGABAD HAJAEE SYID MUEEN UDDIN SAMAJWADI PARTY
18-VIDISHA CHOUDHARY MUNABBAR SALIM SAMAJWADI PARTY
19-BHOPAL MHOD. MUNAWAR KHAN KAUSAR SAMAJWADI PARTY
Maharashtra
3-Jalgaon SHAIKH MATIN AHMED SAGIR AHMED INDEPENDENT
5-Buldhana QURRASHI SK.SIKANDAR SK. SHAUKAT DEMOCRATIC SECULAR PARTY
6-Akola ATIK AHAMAD GU. JILANI DEMOCRATIC SECULAR PARTY
8-Wardha PYARE SAHAB SHEIKH KARIM DEMOCRATIC SECULAR PARTY
10-Nagpur MEHMOOD KHAN RAHEEM KHAN DEMOCRATIC SECULAR PARTY
11-Bhandara – gondiya PATHAN MUSHTAK LATIF DEMOCRATIC SECULAR PARTY
13-Chandrapur PATHAN A. RAZZAK KHAN HAYAT KHAN SAMAJWADI PARTY
14-Yavatmal-Washim MANIYAR YUNUS MAHMOOD ZAHMI ASSAM UNITED DEMOCRATIC FRONT
16-Nanded MD. MAKBUL SALIM HAJI MD. KHAJA BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
17-Parbhani AJIM AHMED KHAN AJIJ KHAN DEMOCRATIC SECULAR PARTY
18-Jalna DR. DILAWAR MIRZA BAIG INDIAN UNION MUSLIM LEAGUE
19-Aurangabad SAYYED SALIM SYYED YUSUF BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
32-Raigad BARRISTER A.R. ANTULAY INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
33-Maval PANSARE AZAM FAKEERBHAI NATIONALIST CONGRESS PARTY
34-Pune BAGWAN JAVED KASIM INDIAN UNION MUSLIM LEAGUE
37-Ahmadnagar KAZI SAJID MUJIR REPUBLICIAN PARTY OF INDIA EKTAWADI
40-Osmanabad BABA FAIJODDIN SHAIKH NELOPA(UNITED)
44-Sangli PATEL M.JAVED M. YUSUF BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
46-Ratnagiri SIRAJ ABDULLA KAUCHALI BHARIPA BAHUJAN MAHASANGHA
47-Kolhapur MAHAMMADGOUS GULAB NADAF INDEPENDENT
Manipur
1-Inner manipur ABDUL RAHMAN INDEPENDENT
Orissa
1-Bargarh DR. HAMID HUSSAIN BIJU JANATA DAL
3-Sambalpur MD. ALI HUSSAIN INDEPENDENT
20-Berhampur ALI RAZA ZIADI INDEPENDENT
Utter Pradesh
33-Unnao RASHIDQAMAR Muslim League Kerala State Committee
35-Lucknow DR.KHAN MOHMAD ATIF Muslim Majlis Uttar Pradesh
37-Amethi MOHD.HASAN LAHARI BHARATIYA REPUBLICAN PAKSHA
38-Sultanpur MOHD.TAHIR BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
54-Faizabad NUSRAT QUDDUSHI ALIAS BABLOO PEACE PARTY
55-Ambedkar Nagar IFTEKHAR AHMAD INDEPENDENT
57-Kaiserganj MOHD ALEEM INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
58-Shrawasti RIZVAN ZAHEER BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
59-Gonda ASHIQ ALI PEACE PARTY
60-Domariyaganj MOHD. MUQUEEM BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
62-Sant kabir Nagar FAZLEY MAHAMOOD INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
63-Maharajganj ABDWURRUF ANSARI NATIONAL LOKHIND PARTY
64-Gorakhpur RAMHIT NISHAD INDEPENDENT
65-Kushi Nagar MATIULLAH NATIONAL LOKHIND PARTY
66-Deoria SAFAYAT ALI PEACE PARTY
69-Azamgarh AKBAR AHMAD DUMPY BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
70-Ghosi ARSHAD JAMAL ANSARI SAMAJWADI PARTY
71-Salempur IZHAR PEACE PARTY
73-Jaunpur TASLEEM AHMED REHMANI INDEPENDENT
75-Ghazipur AFZAL ANSARI BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
76-Chandauli SURAFARAJ AHMAD INDEPENDENT
77-Varanasi MUKHTAR ANSARI BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
79-Mirzapur MOHD. SAGIR NATIONAL LOKTANTRIK PARTY
West Bengal
5-Raiganj SULEMAN HAFIJI Communist Party of India(Marxist-Leninist)(Liberation)
7-Maldaha Uttar MAUSAM NOOR Indian National Congress
8-Maldaha Dakshin ABU HASEM KHAN CHOUDHURY Indian National Congress
Chattisgarh
5-BILASPUR ABDUL HAMID SIDDIQUE INDEPENDENT
6-RAJNANDGAON JALAL MOHAMMAD QURESHI INDEPENDENT
8-RAIPUR JAFAR HUSSAIN, BABABHAI (PURVA MUTVALLI) INDEPENDENT
Jharkhand
5-Kodarma MANJOOR ALAM ANSARI INDEPENDENT
6-Giridih MD. HIMAYUN ANSARI RASHTRIYA JANATA DAL
7-Dhanbad HAFFIZUDDIN ANSARI SAMAJWADI PARTY
8-Ranchi MD. SARFUDDIN BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
9-Jamshedpur MUBIN KHAN BAHUJAN SHAKTY
14-Hazaribagh MD. MOINUDDIN AHMED INDEPENDENT
Andaman & Nicobar Islands
1-Andaman & nicobar islands SHRI. T. ALI INDEPENDENT
Lakshadweep
1-Lakshadweep MUHAMMED HAMDULLA SAYEED A.B INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS